4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,588 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Townhouse
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,936
Tax + insurance
−$933
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,077
Net cashflow
$183/mo
Annual
$2,197/yr
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.40%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$156,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $560k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $513k (8.4% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($543k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $513k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#176 in NJ, #4,679 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, cost of living F.
Wildwood City School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #442 of 472 in NJ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Glenwood Avenue Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,065 of 1,303 statewide, top 83%, 396 students, 89% FRL); Wildwood Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #409 of 431 statewide, top 95%, 172 students, 87% FRL); Wildwood High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #239 of 399 statewide, top 61%, 263 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 435 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of updating
Moderate: bathroom vanity
— dated and in need of updating
Minor: landscaping
— some overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-T9QGDN88EN7VNF
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29