2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 352 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$885/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$-211/mo
Annual
$-2,535/yr
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.04%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (24.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (41.0% below list).
It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#37 in CO, #4,551 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Haxtun School District No. Re-2J (rural): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #109 of 176 in CO (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Haxtun Elementary School (reading 24%, 176 students, 30% FRL); Haxtun Jr/Sr High School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #231 of 381 statewide, top 61%, 158 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Phillips County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Phillips County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $150k implies a 899% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TA69CRC0QF29EA
· Data 12 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29