1429 Avenue L

Tahoka, TX 79373

$99,000C-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 828 sqft · Built 1960 · SingleFamily · Active · 47 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $850/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax + insurance: −$152
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $0/mo
• Annual: $1/yr
• Cap rate: 6.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.00%
• DSCR: 1.00
• 1% rule: 0.86%
• Cash to close: $27,720

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($1/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (14.1% below list).
• It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $85k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (9.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#688 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Tahoka ISD (town): math 51% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #313 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Tahoka El (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #865 of 4,322 statewide, top 21%, 298 students, 56% FRL); Tahoka Middle (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #971 of 1,662 statewide, top 60%, 122 students, 68% FRL); Tahoka H S (math 74% / reading 34%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 175 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
• Lynn County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (9.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.