4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,275 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,529/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$488
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,161
Net cashflow
$1,520/mo
Annual
$18,244/yr
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.48%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$126,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $507/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $450k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $436k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#110 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Willington School District (rural): math 36% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #90 of 153 in CT (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Center School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #285 of 553 statewide, top 53%, 222 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 14% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
14 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $140k; list at $450k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.5% in Crystal Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TB55BC6ETD7P58
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29