36 bd · None ba ·
8,856 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,922/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,517
Tax + insurance
−$1,153
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,084
Net cashflow
$4,168/mo
Annual
$50,021/yr
Cap rate
16.72%
Cash-on-cash
37.23%
DSCR
2.66
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$134,372
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $480k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($50k/yr) — positive. Per door: $695/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $480k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($437k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $437k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#439 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities B, cost of living B; Watch: schools C-, housing D+, crime F.
Geneseo Central School District (town): math 46% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #367 of 590 in NY (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
20 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $134k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TBXCGE5Z8TAT9X
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29