2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
825 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Condo
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,334/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$364
HOA
−$1,067
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$700
Net cashflow
$-889/mo
Annual
$-10,673/yr
Cap rate
3.82%
Cash-on-cash
-8.84%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-889 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (39.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $333k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($363k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: President Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #46 of 183 statewide, top 29%, 357 students, 57% FRL); Robert Louis Stevenson Middle School (math 30% / reading 57%, grade D, #10 of 42 statewide, top 22%, 576 students, 43% FRL); President Theodore Roosevelt High School (math 41% / reading 73%, grade C, #3 of 43 statewide, top 7%, 1,433 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $399k implies a 706% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29