3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1916
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,116/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$654
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$83/mo
Annual
$992/yr
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.84%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$34,916
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($992/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (10.5% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($862 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#135 in MN, #3,013 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Frazee-Vergas Public School District (rural): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #196 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Becker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Becker County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TC5YT85RJAA4Q8
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29