2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 471 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,540/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$771
Tax + insurance
−$193
HOA
−$120
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$323
Net cashflow
$133/mo
Annual
$1,598/yr
Cap rate
7.38%
Cash-on-cash
3.88%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$41,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $147k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $147k).
It's been on market 471 days — a 12% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#42 in FL, #668 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Imperial Estates Elementary School (math 46% / reading 50%, grade D, #1,171 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 658 students, 58% FRL); Andrew Jackson Middle School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade C, #259 of 571 statewide, top 46%, 551 students, 58% FRL); Titusville High School (math 33% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,314 students, 55% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 462 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $110k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 471 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TCKV5K81ASQPGB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29