2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,382/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$629/mo
Annual
$7,550/yr
Cap rate
17.58%
Cash-on-cash
40.31%
DSCR
2.79
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$18,732
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $67k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 3.7% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TD9A6QD0SZKB5J
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29