8 bd · 5.0 ba ·
3,344 sqft ·
Built 1850
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,874/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$604
Net cashflow
$1,096/mo
Annual
$13,156/yr
Cap rate
14.04%
Cash-on-cash
27.65%
DSCR
2.23
1% rule
1.69%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 1×4.0bd/2.5ba + 1×2.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $170k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $548/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#316 in PA, #2,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment D-.
General Mclane SD (rural): math 50% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #85 of 539 in PA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.4% in Edinboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Older cabinets in need of replacement or updating
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Older fixtures in need of replacement or updating
Moderate: Flooring
— Carpeted floors in multiple rooms, some showing wear
Moderate: Paint
— Peeling paint in some rooms
Minor: Windows
— Windows appear functional but may need updating
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29