3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,389 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 212 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,451/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$312
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$-57/mo
Annual
$-684/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.44%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-684/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.6% below list).
It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#706 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Copperas Cove ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #340 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Martin Walker El (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 378 students, 60% FRL); Copperas Cove J H (math 43% / reading 42%, grade D-, #553 of 1,662 statewide, top 34%, 924 students, 63% FRL); Copperas Cove H S (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #941 of 1,632 statewide, top 58%, 2,277 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 610 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Copperas Cove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TE111BDD2TFN7X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29