None bd · None ba ·
2,709 sqft ·
Built 2005
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,424/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,431
Tax + insurance
−$925
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,139
Net cashflow
$-1,072/mo
Annual
$-12,860/yr
Cap rate
4.77%
Cash-on-cash
-5.44%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$236,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $845k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-536/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $656k (22.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $542k (35.8% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $542k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $78k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $72k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 54% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $134k; list at $845k implies a 533% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$125k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,424/mo this rent would consume 186% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 11195% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TEAX2G8S4WTC0E
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29