3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,740 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,257/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,141
Tax + insurance
−$906
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$684
Net cashflow
$-1,474/mo
Annual
$-17,684/yr
Cap rate
3.34%
Cash-on-cash
-10.54%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$167,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $599k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (43.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (45.6% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $326k (45.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $64k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 18619% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $275k; list at $599k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$103k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,257/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 247% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TEBX6Q9QE8P2FC
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29