3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,780 sqft ·
Built 2003
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,716/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$411
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,200
Net cashflow
$1,351/mo
Annual
$16,218/yr
Cap rate
9.38%
Cash-on-cash
11.03%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $525k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($509k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $509k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in ME, #1,476 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, employment F.
RSU 18 (rural): math 88% / reading 89% proficiency, ranked #36 of 112 in ME (top 32%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 460 units permitted in Kennebec County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kennebec County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $205k; list at $525k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.6% in Augusta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,716/mo this rent would consume 125% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 760% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TESDZQ82263EPB
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29