3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,648 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$-282/mo
Annual
$-3,388/yr
Cap rate
4.99%
Cash-on-cash
-4.65%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$72,797
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (15.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (25.6% below list).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#118 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lynn Fanning Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 772 students, 39% FRL); Moores Mill Intermediate School (math 42% / reading 66%, grade B-, #20 of 257 statewide, top 8%, 840 students, 46% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 504 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Meridianville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TF1DJBF6P1SK35
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29