5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,457 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,949/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,015
Tax + insurance
−$958
HOA
−$71
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$829
Net cashflow
$-925/mo
Annual
$-11,097/yr
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.89%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$160,986
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $575k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-925 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $441k (23.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $395k (31.3% below list).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($540k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $395k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#110 in WA, #2,167 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, commute F, cost of living F.
South Kitsap School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #71 of 291 in WA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.0% in Port Orchard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29