9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
3,608 sqft ·
Built 1978
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,136/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,300
Tax + insurance
−$1,128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,499
Net cashflow
$209/mo
Annual
$2,513/yr
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.09%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$229,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $820k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $70/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $714k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($808k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $714k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#304 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Vallejo City Unified (urban): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #1,124 of 1,400 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cave Language Academy (411 students, 68% FRL); Hogan Middle (867 students, 85% FRL); Vallejo High (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #723 of 1,170 statewide, top 64%, 1,335 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 62% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 179 active listings in the ZIP; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $225k; list at $820k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.1% in Vallejo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,136/mo this rent would consume 131% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 2972% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TFK2RX240B4WP9
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29