2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,134 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$970/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$30
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$553/mo
Annual
$6,633/yr
Cap rate
25.24%
Cash-on-cash
67.68%
DSCR
4.01
1% rule
2.77%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $859 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP.
Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $8k; list at $35k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 7.6% in Mangum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29