2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,307 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,179
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$443/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$62,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($443/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (21.9% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#145 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
Globe Unified District (4208) (town): math 11% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #206 of 249 in AZ (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Copper Rim Elementary School (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #796 of 1,109 statewide, top 72%, 765 students, 56% FRL); High Desert Middle School (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #167 of 218 statewide, top 77%, 407 students, 55% FRL); Globe High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #252 of 381 statewide, top 67%, 498 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $225k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29