2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Condo
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,258/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,132
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$260
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$105/mo
Annual
$1,257/yr
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.08%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$60,452
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $216k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $216k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#6 in MN, #153 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
South Washington County School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #40 of 301 in MN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Nuevas Fronteras Spanish Immersion (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 499 students, 16% FRL); Woodbury Middle School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C+, #63 of 258 statewide, top 25%, 1,108 students, 24% FRL); Woodbury High School (math 62% / reading 71%, grade B, #21 of 471 statewide, top 5%, 1,979 students, 21% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,405 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $216k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.2% in Woodbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TG16XF0XG9H9HY
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29