3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,990 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,765/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$1,086
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,001
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-890/yr
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.61%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-890/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $512k (2.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $477k (9.2% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $477k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#12 in RI, #4,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Barrington (suburban): math 55% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #1 of 39 in RI (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Barrington Middle School (math 54% / reading 70%, grade B+, #1 of 57 statewide, top 0%, 789 students, 7% FRL); Barrington High School (math 65% / reading 84%, grade B+, #2 of 58 statewide, top 2%, 1,139 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools at 7% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29 units permitted in Bristol County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bristol County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $381k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in East Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TG7AR41HQRXZ6P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29