4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,099/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$151
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$-174/mo
Annual
$-2,088/yr
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.39%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-174 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (18.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (35.4% below list).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (35.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#137 in MN, #3,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Norman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $170k implies a 325% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TGFXKNBNH067AZ
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29