3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,140 sqft ·
Built 1830
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,570/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$540
Net cashflow
$832/mo
Annual
$9,984/yr
Cap rate
12.17%
Cash-on-cash
20.98%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $165k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#693 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, amenities F.
Indian River Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #502 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1830 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (5.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1830 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TGHN2A8B7XEZ2A
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29