Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TN 37115
$244,000C-
3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,516 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,158/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,280
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$176/mo
Annual
$2,115/yr
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.10%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$68,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $244k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (11.5% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Davidson County (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #126 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Stratton Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #896 of 952 statewide, top 96%, 474 students, 0% FRL); Madison Middle (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #329 of 333 statewide, top 99%, 400 students, 0% FRL); Hunters Lane High (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #321 of 332 statewide, top 97%, 1,466 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,873 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (4,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.9% in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,158/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2759% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TGPFR06T66VWY4
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29