3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,582/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$981
Tax + insurance
−$149
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$120/mo
Annual
$1,442/yr
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.75%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$52,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#557 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Iredell-Statesville Schools (rural): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #51 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: N B Mills Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 411 students, 98% FRL); The Brawley School (math 91% / reading 88%, grade A+, #2 of 475 statewide, top 0%, 639 students, 9% FRL); West Iredell High (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #414 of 535 statewide, top 79%, 844 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 38% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 475 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,955 units permitted in Iredell County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iredell County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.7% in Statesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TH0KCT049X84N1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29