2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1970
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 337 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,562/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$958
Net cashflow
$2,870/mo
Annual
$34,444/yr
Cap rate
40.74%
Cash-on-cash
123.01%
DSCR
6.47
1% rule
4.56%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $574/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#871 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Sandy Creek Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #425 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sandy Creek Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 393 students, 49% FRL); Sandy Creek Middle School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 186 students, 53% FRL); Sandy Creek High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 213 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $100k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29