1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
601 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,936/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,517
Tax + insurance
−$800
HOA
−$460
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,247
Net cashflow
$913/mo
Annual
$10,952/yr
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.15%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$134,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $480k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $480k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($451k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $451k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 491 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $134k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,936/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($140k/yr) (locally 5269% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint touch-ups
— Paint appears faded in some areas.
Minor: Window cleaning
— Windows appear dirty.
Minor: Landscaping
— No visible landscaping or curb appeal issues, but could be improved.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29