3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,447 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 524 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,069/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$475
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$-336/mo
Annual
$-4,027/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.04%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$79,817
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $288k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-336 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $237k (17.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (28.2% below list).
It's been on market 524 days — a 12% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#324 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 942 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 524 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-THSWD8AXAG28RY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29