8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,472 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,479/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,403
Tax + insurance
−$1,082
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,361
Net cashflow
$633/mo
Annual
$7,600/yr
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.18%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$181,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $649k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $158/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $648k (0.2% below list).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($591k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $591k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#33 in MN, #1,041 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+.
Robbinsdale Public School District (suburban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #250 of 301 in MN (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.9% in Crystal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TJ1RK5C8RNQDXH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29