3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,329 sqft ·
Built 1904
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$221/mo
Annual
$2,652/yr
Cap rate
8.60%
Cash-on-cash
8.23%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,657 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
Williams Valley SD (rural): math 16% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #442 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Williams Valley El Sch (math 17% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,116 of 1,518 statewide, top 74%, 521 students, 100% FRL); Williams Valley Jshs (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #349 of 437 statewide, top 81%, 440 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 40% district-wide (59 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TJFS3C1RHPBDNG
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29