3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,287 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$562
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$659
Net cashflow
$600/mo
Annual
$7,205/yr
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.55%
DSCR
1.60
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#52 in OH, #736 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Avon Lake City (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #48 of 656 in OH (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Redwood Elementary School (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A+, #116 of 1,584 statewide, top 9%, 400 students, 13% FRL); Troy Intermediate Elementary School (math 76% / reading 82%, grade A+, #54 of 654 statewide, top 9%, 549 students, 12% FRL); Avon Lake High School (math 67% / reading 87%, grade A-, #56 of 781 statewide, top 8%, 1,152 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $69k; list at $190k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.1% in Avon Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TJZ4412A11JWNM
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29