6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$499
Net cashflow
$44/mo
Annual
$529/yr
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.71%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $44 ($529/yr) — positive. Per door: $22/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (10.4% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $237k (10.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#479 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
Scott Valley Unified (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #228 of 517 in CA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fort Jones Elementary (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #410 of 1,571 statewide, top 28%, 144 students, 47% FRL); Scott Valley Junior High (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #117 of 498 statewide, top 24%, 170 students, 56% FRL); Etna Union High (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #434 of 1,170 statewide, top 39%, 180 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Siskiyou County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Siskiyou County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29