78 bd · 169.0 ba ·
7,383 sqft ·
Built 1929
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$33,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,604
Tax + insurance
−$2,778
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,993
Net cashflow
$15,927/mo
Annual
$191,121/yr
Cap rate
19.53%
Cash-on-cash
47.27%
DSCR
3.10
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$406,000
Investor read
This is a 13 × 6-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.45M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16k ($191k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($33k rent vs $1.45M).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.43M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.43M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $44k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#52 in WA, #949 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
Renton School District (urban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 291 in WA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $550k; list at $1.45M implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $406k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 2.3% in Renton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $33,302/mo this rent would consume 583% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1628% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TMKH0M4HRK4EKH
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29