5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,558 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 496 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,274/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$694
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$478
Net cashflow
$583/mo
Annual
$6,999/yr
Cap rate
18.94%
Cash-on-cash
45.18%
DSCR
3.01
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 1×2bd/1.2ba + 1×3bd/1.2ba units multifamily listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $292/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
It's been on market 496 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#374 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
Fort Plain Central School District (rural): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #401 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $42k; list at $99k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 496 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29