3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,419/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$471
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$508
Net cashflow
$102/mo
Annual
$1,224/yr
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.71%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (5.2% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Gloucester Township Public Schools (suburban): math 14% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #351 of 472 in NJ (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Highland Regional High School (math 9% / reading 41%, grade F, #325 of 399 statewide, top 81%, 1,204 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
7 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $195k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TMRS0N59HE3NQ1
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29