305 Hill St

Churdan, IA 50050

$39,999A-

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,216 sqft · Built 1921 · Other · Pending · 70 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,099/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax + insurance: −$84
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $575/mo
• Annual: $6,898/yr
• Cap rate: 23.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 61.59%
• DSCR: 3.74
• 1% rule: 2.75%
• Cash to close: $11,200

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $40k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#564 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Paton-Churdan Community School District (rural): math 80% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #111 of 330 in IA (top 34%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Greene County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.