3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,939 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,412/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$-273/mo
Annual
$-3,274/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.20%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (21.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (37.2% below list).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (37.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $197 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#299 in OR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Pendleton SD 16 (town): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #24 of 58 in OR (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 205 units permitted in Umatilla County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Umatilla County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TN58HPC7S6Y1VX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29