3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,716 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,760/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$370
Net cashflow
$354/mo
Annual
$4,252/yr
Cap rate
9.13%
Cash-on-cash
10.13%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#299 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Lee County (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #40 of 129 in AL (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Loachapoka Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #467 of 627 statewide, top 76%, 334 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 48% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 35% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lee County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,760/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 2503% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Mobile home structural studs
— The mobile home has significant potential but needs sturdy structural studs.
Major: Septic tank installation
— City water is accessible, but a septic tank will need to be installed.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TN7H6JB5ZS227Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29