3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,551 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$470
Net cashflow
$186/mo
Annual
$2,233/yr
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.48%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (2.2% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#109 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Greene County School District (rural): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #67 of 130 in MS (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Greene County High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #43 of 197 statewide, top 24%, 440 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Paint appears faded and uneven.
Major: Exterior siding
— Siding appears weathered and in need of repainting.
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Cabinets appear dated and could benefit from updating.
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— Fixtures appear outdated and could be replaced.
Major: Landscaping
— Landscaping is sparse and in need of maintenance and updates.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29