3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,565 sqft ·
Built 1921
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,642/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$555
Net cashflow
$705/mo
Annual
$8,460/yr
Cap rate
10.52%
Cash-on-cash
15.11%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#663 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
Canajoharie Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #414 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding appears weathered and in need of repainting or replacement.
Minor: Interior walls and ceilings
— There are signs of wear and tear, such as peeling paint and minor damage.
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets and appliances
— The kitchen cabinets and appliances are present but appear dated and may need updating.
Minor: Bathrooms
— The bathrooms appear to be functional but may benefit from updates to fixtures and finishes.
Minor: Flooring
— The flooring in the living areas appears to be carpeted and in fair condition, but may need cleaning or replacement.
Minor: Windows
— The windows appear to be in fair condition, but may benefit from new hardware or caulking.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TNE3034046WT08
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29