3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,196
Tax + insurance
−$147
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-377/mo
Annual
$-4,527/yr
Cap rate
4.31%
Cash-on-cash
-7.09%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$63,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $228k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (29.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (46.4% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (46.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#275 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Meade County (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #21 of 165 in KY (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 124 units permitted in Meade County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Meade County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $87k; list at $228k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TNJ6ZWCNZGYJDH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29