3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,826 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,648/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,993
Tax + insurance
−$295
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$556
Net cashflow
$-196/mo
Annual
$-2,356/yr
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.21%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$106,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $380k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-196 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $345k (9.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (30.3% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $265k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#210 in NY, #3,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D+, cost of living D.
Ithaca City School District (urban): math 57% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #195 of 590 in NY (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Belle Sherman School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 307 students, 34% FRL); Boynton Middle School (math 36% / reading 64%, grade C, #261 of 729 statewide, top 36%, 526 students, 36% FRL); Ithaca Senior High School (math 95% / reading 95%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 1,341 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $259k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TNYT841E8RE2ZT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29