2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$228
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-401/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.46%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-401/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (25.6% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $230k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#44 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cheatham County (rural): math 24% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #74 of 139 in TN (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pleasant View Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 556 students, 0% FRL); Sycamore High School (math 2% / reading 37%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 712 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 271 units permitted in Cheatham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $309k implies a 809% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Pleasant View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TP0GG82W8CCGC6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29