2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,295/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,164
Tax + insurance
−$370
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$482
Net cashflow
$279/mo
Annual
$3,346/yr
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.38%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$62,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $222k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $222k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($215k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $215k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Weymouth Township School District (rural): math 50% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #351 of 612 in NJ (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Weymouth Township Elementary School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #528 of 1,303 statewide, top 43%, 156 students, 45% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Weymouth Township School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $162k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TPKG8159EQY7SG
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29