6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,000 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,325/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$698
Net cashflow
$1,590/mo
Annual
$19,082/yr
Cap rate
19.01%
Cash-on-cash
45.43%
DSCR
3.02
1% rule
2.22%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $795/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $128k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,325/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1306% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TPMBKS0E7V9310
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29