3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$304
Net cashflow
$110/mo
Annual
$1,315/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.13%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.3% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Whitesburg Elementary (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #272 of 952 statewide, top 31%, 206 students, 0% FRL); East Ridge Middle School (math 35% / reading 31%, grade F, #77 of 333 statewide, top 24%, 498 students, 0% FRL); Morristown East High (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #129 of 332 statewide, top 43%, 1,572 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.7% in Russellville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.