2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,626 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Townhouse
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,241/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,673
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$998
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$681
Net cashflow
$-425/mo
Annual
$-5,103/yr
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.71%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$89,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $319k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-425 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (23.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $319k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $244k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hagen Road Elementary School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade B-, #722 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 773 students, 46% FRL); Carver Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 732 students, 73% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 584 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $154k; list at $319k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,241/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 494% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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