3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,016 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,036
Tax + insurance
−$379
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$-151/mo
Annual
$-1,813/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.84%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$55,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-151 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (13.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (19.0% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $160k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Wellsboro Area SD (rural): math 37% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #230 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Don Gill El Sch (math 33% / reading 51%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 318 students, 55% FRL); Rock L Butler Ms (math 32% / reading 61%, grade D+, #172 of 512 statewide, top 35%, 480 students, 50% FRL); Wellsboro Area Hs (math 77%, 439 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 31% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $58k; list at $198k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TQQD4JD4T5A9G6
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29