2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,049 sqft ·
Built 1882
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,479/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$731
Net cashflow
$1,691/mo
Annual
$20,293/yr
Cap rate
19.56%
Cash-on-cash
47.37%
DSCR
3.11
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$42,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $153k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $153k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $151k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in NY, #2,967 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
Rensselaer City School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #574 of 590 in NY (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Van Rensselaer Elementary School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,821 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 493 students, 70% FRL); Rensselaer Junior/Senior High School (math 42% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,079 of 1,100 statewide, top 98%, 522 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 5.0% in Rensselaer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,479/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 541% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Old and outdated, need replacement or renovation
Major: Kitchen countertops
— Worn and outdated, need replacement or renovation
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Old and outdated, need replacement or renovation
Major: Windows
— Old and possibly drafty, need replacement
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and possibly damaged, need replacement
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29