3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,675/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$352
Net cashflow
$91/mo
Annual
$1,091/yr
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.86%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (20.2% below list).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $168k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Jasper City (town): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #23 of 129 in AL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Memorial Park Elementary School (math 50% / reading 68%, grade B-, #67 of 627 statewide, top 11%, 375 students, 65% FRL); Maddox Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 59%, grade D-, #51 of 257 statewide, top 20%, 636 students, 61% FRL); Jasper High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 814 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 42% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TRW4829WH6Z6R6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29